U.S. intelligence and the confrontation in Poland, 1980-81

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Pennsylvania State University Press,
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Despite the U.S. government’s sophisticated intelligence capabilities, policy makers repeatedly seemed to be caught off guard when major crises took place during the Cold War. Were these surprises the result of inadequate information, or rather the use made of the information available? In seeking an answer to this question, former CIA analyst Douglas MacEachin carefully examines the crisis in Poland during 1980–81 to determine what information the U.S. government had about Soviet preparations for military intervention and the Polish regime’s plans for martial law, and what prevented that information from being effectively employed

Drawing on his experience in intelligence reporting at the time, as well as on recently declassified U.S. documents and materials from Soviet, Polish, and other Eastern European archives, MacEachin contrasts what was known then with what is known now, and seeks to explain why, despite the evidence available to them, U.S. policy makers did not take the threat of a crackdown seriously enough to prevent it.

It was the mind-set of those who processed the information, not the lack or accuracy of information, that was the fundamental problem, MacEachin argues. By highlighting this cognitive obstacle, his analysis points the way toward developing practices to overcome it in the future.

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Grouped Work ID 9407f35c-e3f5-cd0b-fc06-f3c6a8ccf145
full_title u s intelligence and the confrontation in poland 1980 81
author maceachin douglas j
grouping_category book
lastUpdate 2017-08-14 05:04:18AM

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physical viii, 256 p. ; 24 cm.
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table_of_contents Machine generated contents note: Part I: The Rise of Solidarity and the Threat of Soviet Intervention, July-December 980 -- 1 The Burgeoning Confrontation 17 -- 2 The Confrontation Escalates 33 -- 3 U.S. Launches Public Policy and Diplomatic Offensive 47 -- 4 Filling Out the Picture 63 -- 5 Intelligence and Policy 81 -- Part II: The Brink of Military Intervention, January-April I98I -- 6 Escalating Challenges to the Polish Regime 91 -- 7 Jaruzelski Takes the Government Reins I05 -- 8 A Setup for Military Crackdown 117 -- 9 A Close Call? I37 -- Part III: Marching to the End Game, April-December 1981 -- 10 Liberalization Infects the Party I53 -- 11 Solidarity Charges Ahead, and the Regime Digs In 169 -- 12 Bringing Down the Curtain 189 -- 13 Caught Off Guard 2II -- 14 Would It Have Made a Difference? 235.
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title U.S. intelligence and the confrontation in Poland, 1980-81
title_alt United States intelligence and the confrontation in Poland, 1980-81.
title_display U.S. intelligence and the confrontation in Poland, 1980-81
title_full U.S. intelligence and the confrontation in Poland, 1980-81 [electronic resource] / Douglas J. MacEachin
title_short U.S. intelligence and the confrontation in Poland, 1980-81
title_sort us intelligence and the confrontation in poland, 1980-81