Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

A fascinating, eye-opening, and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the United States—and the world—from one of our most incisive futurists

George Friedman has become a leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, sought after for his unmatched grasp of both historical and contemporary trends. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman turns his eye to the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of geopolitical patterns dating

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The threat of global warming--the danger of melting ice caps, rising ocean levels, lost coast lines, and increasingly volatile weather--has made climate an integral aspect of one of the great hot-button issues of our time. It has certainly never been more important for all of us to understand the nature of climate than now. In this wide-ranging Very Short Introduction to climate, Mark Maslin considers all aspects of the global climate system, exploring...

Aerial warfare has dominated Western war-making for over 100 years, and despite regular announcements of its demise, it shows no sign of becoming obsolete. Frank Ledwidge offers a sweeping global history of air warfare, introducing the major battles, crises, and controversies where air power has taken centre stage.

"From Oxford's leading AI researcher comes a fun and accessible tour through the history and future of one of the most cutting edge and misunderstood field in science: Artificial Intelligence The somewhat ill-defined long-term aim of AI is to build machines that are conscious, self-aware, and sentient; machines capable of the kind of intelligent autonomous action that currently only people are capable of. As an AI researcher with 25 years of experience,...

The rapid rise in Russia's power over the course of the last ten years has been matched by the lack of diplomacy displayed by its president, Vladimir Putin. If we continue to ignore it, we remain on a path for nuclear war and we do so at our own peril. Former deputy commander of NATO General Sir Richard Shirreff speaks out in this call to arms, warning allied powers and the world at large that we risk nuclear conflict if we fail to confront Russia's...

"The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive...

Takes the reader on a journey into what Gerstein identifies as the central organizing construct for the future of civilization: the continued proliferation of technology. He proposes a method for gaining a better understanding of how technology is likely to evolve in the future, and considers three technologies that are now converging and will shape the future: biotechnology, artificial intelligence, and the "internet of things".

"...much of the world around us--from the food we eat to the products we buy to the medications we take--is shaped by private negotiations and business deals few of us know about. The Deals That Made the World, takes us inside the sphere of these powerful players, examining ten groundbreaking business deals that have transformed our modern economy. Peretti reveals how corporate executives engineered an entire diet industry built on failure; how PayPal...