An irreverent look at how randomness influences our lives, and how our successes and failures are far more dependent on chance events than we recognize.

"An introduction to Bayesian statistics with simple and pop culture-based explanations. Topics covered include measuring your own uncertainty in a belief, applying Bayes' theorem, and calculating distributions"--

We would like to believe we can know things for certain. We want to be able to figure out who will win an election, if the stock market will crash, or if a suspect definitely committed a crime. But the odds are not in our favor. Life is full of uncertainty --- indeed, scientific advances indicate that the universe might be fundamentally inexact --- and humans are terrible at guessing. When asked to predict the outcome of a chance event, we are almost...

An essential guide to the concepts of probability theory that puts the focus on models and applications Introduction to Probability offers an authoritative text that presents the main ideas and concepts, as well as the theoretical background, models, and applications of probability. The authors-noted experts in the field-include a review of problems where probabilistic models naturally arise, discuss the appropriate statistical methods, and explain...

"This new edition shows how real world problems can be solved using statistical concepts, now with many timely updates. The authors have included R software and removed the Excel exhibits throughout the book. The new Chapter 20 discusses data mining including topics in big data, classification, machine learning, and visualization. The new Chapter 21 covers cluster analysis methodologies including in hierarchical, nonhierarchical, and model based clustering....

"A compilation of everyday events analyzed for their probability of occurring. The odds are determined using mathematical equations and science. An entertaining illustrated reference to the role of mathematics in everyday life. Topics examined are: the human condition, sports and games, traveling from A to B, digital technology, chance and coincidence, and more."--

Ella is trying to decide who to invite over to play. This book helps teach children the concept of probability. Simple activities performed by Ella help children understand how likely it is that a certain result will happen. Activities include flipping a coin, rolling a number cube, and playing a game with a spinning wheel.

Lisa and her class learn about probability.