Catalog Search Results
Author
Language
English
Description
"An eye-opening and engrossing look at rare moments, why they occur, and how they shape our world"--
A statistician presents his theory that extraordinary and rare events are actually commonplace and cites stories of two-time lottery winners and other bizarre coincidences to support his theory that unlikely events statistically must happen.
Author
Publisher
Basic Books
Pub. Date
[2019]
Language
English
Description
We would like to believe we can know things for certain. We want to be able to figure out who will win an election, if the stock market will crash, or if a suspect definitely committed a crime. But the odds are not in our favor. Life is full of uncertainty --- indeed, scientific advances indicate that the universe might be fundamentally inexact --- and humans are terrible at guessing. When asked to predict the outcome of a chance event, we are almost...
Author
Publisher
FIREFLY BOOKS
Pub. Date
[2017]
Language
English
Description
"A compilation of everyday events analyzed for their probability of occurring. The odds are determined using mathematical equations and science. An entertaining illustrated reference to the role of mathematics in everyday life. Topics examined are: the human condition, sports and games, traveling from A to B, digital technology, chance and coincidence, and more."--
10) Probability
Author
Series
Publisher
Crabtree Pub
Pub. Date
[2010]
Language
English
Description
Ella is trying to decide who to invite over to play. This book helps teach children the concept of probability. Simple activities performed by Ella help children understand how likely it is that a certain result will happen. Activities include flipping a coin, rolling a number cube, and playing a game with a spinning wheel.
Author
Publisher
Current
Pub. Date
[2012]
Language
English
Description
"A new approach to uderstanding the ever-changing information that bombards us. Arbesman is an expert in scientometrics, literally the science of science--how we know what we know. It turns out that knowledge in most fields evolves in systematic and predictable ways, and understanding that evolution can enormously powerful"--
Author
Publisher
Skyhorse Publishing
Pub. Date
2017.
Language
English
Description
"Over the years, some very smart people have thought they understood the rules of chance--only to fail dismally. Whether you call it probability, risk, or uncertainty, the workings of chance often defy common sense. Fortunately, advances in math and science have revealed the laws of chance, and understanding those laws can help in your everyday life. In Chancing It, award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows how to understand the laws...
Author
Publisher
Basic Books
Pub. Date
2022.
Language
English
Description
"On October 16, 1987 meteorologists predicted a nice, breezy day in the south of England. Instead, the countryside was battered by the worst storm to hit the country in over 300 years. Twenty-two people were killed and damages totaled more than 3.3 million dollars. In the aftermath, scientists asked themselves: why was the forecast wrong? What could have been done to predict this? Meteorologist Tim Palmer discovered the answer: it comes down to embracing...
Author
Publisher
W.W. Norton & Company
Pub. Date
[2014]
Language
English
Description
A radically new, and easily learned, way to outstrategize your rivals. "The wise win before they fight, while the ignorant fight to win." So wrote Zhuge Liang, the great Chinese military strategist. He was referring to battlefield tactics, but the same can be said about any strategic situation. Even seemingly certain defeat can be turned into victory-whether in battle, business, or life-by those with the strategic vision to recognize how to "change...
17) Random acts of medicine: the hidden forces that sway doctors, impact patients, and shape our health
Author
Publisher
Doubleday
Pub. Date
2023.
Language
English
Description
"Why do kids born in the summer get diagnosed more often with A.D.H.D.? How are marathons harmful for your health, even when you're not running? What do surgeons and salesmen have in common? Which annual event made people 30 percent more likely to contract COVID-19? As a University of Chicago-trained economist and Harvard medical school professor and doctor, Anupam Jena is uniquely equipped to answer these questions. And as a critical care doctor...
Author
Publisher
Little, Brown Spark
Pub. Date
2019.
Language
English
Description
In the 18th century, the British minister and mathematician Thomas Bayes devised a theorem that allowed him to assign probabilities to events that had never happened before. It languished in obscurity for centuries until computers came along and made it easy to crunch the numbers. Now, as the foundation of big data, Bayes' formula has become a linchpin of the digital economy. But here's where things get really interesting: Bayes' theorem can also...
Author
Publisher
Princeton University Press
Pub. Date
[2018]
Language
English
Description
In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the...
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